Nelson Vaz, a meteorologist in the Upton office, stated it will require 2 days to understand the real path and impact of Jose. But there’s one factor that’s almost certain, he stated.
Hurricane center advisories and forecast discussions are updated at 5 a.m., 11 a.m., 5 p.m. and 11 p.m., with special bulletins as warranted.
Bad weather track farther towards the west means more powerful winds, heavier rain and much more significant flooding, with lesser impacts having a more east route.
Jose looks to become passing southeast of Lengthy Island, to tropical storm level, late Tuesday into early Wednesday, the elements service stated Saturday.
Though computer models are beginning to exhibit more agreement regarding the system’s track, it’s still too soon “to lock in” on the majority of the details concerning the storm’s impact, the elements service stated. The seriousness of any wind, rain and flooding impacts depends around the track and strength from the storm.
“The greatest threat that we’re most positive about may be the waves and surf that’ll be a direct result it,” he stated. “We’ll have dune erosion and localized washovers.”
There’s also an growing opportunity for minor to moderate seaside flooding late Monday into Tuesday, the elements service stated.